Disclaimer: Views in this blog do not promote, and are not directly connected to any L&G product or service. Views are from a range of L&G investment professionals, may be specific to an author’s particular investment region or desk, and do not necessarily reflect the views of L&G. For investment professionals only.

Economics

twin deficits
Economics

We need to talk about the twin deficits

Tariff revenues are flowing to the US Treasury, but are they improving the overall fiscal situation? And who is paying for them?
Tim Drayson
By  Tim Drayson
18 Aug 2025
4 min read
secret diary
Economics

The secret diary of an economist aged 49¾

After a week that was about as exciting as it gets for an economist working for a large asset manager, I thought I’d share a...
Tim Drayson
By  Tim Drayson
06 Aug 2025
4 min read
Degrees doubt
Economics

Degrees of doubt

AI, anecdotes and the graduate labour market: why the threat may be more gradual than feared.
James Carrick
By  James Carrick
24 Jul 2025
3 min read
Vacancy vanish
Economics

When vacancies vanish: UK and French unemployment at a turning point?

If economic growth remains weak, we expect unemployment in these countries to rise more than in their peers.
James Carrick
By  James Carrick
09 Jul 2025
2 min read
small parcel
Economics

When small parcels mean big business

For all the noise on headline tariff rates, tariffs on small packages are underdiscussed.
Matthew Rodger
By  Matthew Rodger
19 Jun 2025
4 min read
congestion 1
Economics

What can the London congestion charge teach us about tariffs?

Congestion charges and tariffs are very different in design, but both are attempts to use taxes to change economic behaviour. What can we learn from...
Christopher Jeffery
By  Christopher Jeffery
18 Jun 2025
4 min read
Uncertain US
Economics

US tariffs: what happens next?

In a dramatic reversal of policy, President Trump has paused reciprocal tariffs. But uncertainty and the effective tariff rate remain high and the US is...
Tim Drayson
By  Tim Drayson
29 Apr 2025
4 min read
Japan China
Economics

A fresh perspective on EM: advanced economies hiding in plain sight

Who’s richer: Japan or China? The answer reveals why GDP per capita doesn’t tell the whole story.
Erik Lueth
By  Erik Lueth
08 Apr 2025
4 min read
Emerging markets
Economics

How could uncertainties around US policy impact emerging markets?

The new administration in Washington is pursuing radical changes to global trade – what consequences could these have for rising economies?
Uday PatnaikRaza Agha
By  Uday Patnaik, Raza Agha
27 Mar 2025
4 min read
Trump tariff
Economics

President Trump’s first couple of weeks: economic implications

The White House’s policy agenda has been in overdrive since inauguration. Consensus expects the agenda to support US growth. We see significant downside risks to...
Tim Drayson
By  Tim Drayson
05 Feb 2025
4 min read

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